Tan iyo markii Bayer ay warshadaynteeda ku dhawaaqday 1971, glyphosate waxay soo martay nus qarni oo tartan suuqa ku salaysan iyo isbeddello ku yimid qaab-dhismeedka warshadaha. Ka dib markii ay dib u eegtay isbeddellada qiimaha ee glyphosate muddo 50 sano ah, Huaan Securities waxay aaminsan tahay in glyphosate la filayo inuu si tartiib tartiib ah uga baxo heerka ugu hooseeya oo uu soo bandhigo wareeg cusub oo ganacsi.
Glyphosate waa geed aan la dooran karin, gudaha lagu nuugo, oo leh noocyo badan oo sun ah, waana nooca ugu badan ee sunta cayayaanka laga dilo adduunka oo dhan. Shiinaha waa soo saaraha ugu horreeya adduunka iyo dhoofinta glyphosate. Iyada oo ay saameeyeen kaydka badan, dhoofinta alaabta dibadda ayaa socotay in ka badan hal sano.
Waqtigan xaadirka ah, baahida caalamiga ah ee glyphosate waxay muujinaysaa calaamado soo kabasho ah. Waxaan ku qiyaaseynaa in dib u soo celinta alaabta dibadda ay si tartiib tartiib ah u joogsan doonto oo ay geli doonto xilli dib u buuxin ah rubuca afraad, baahida dib u buuxintuna waxay dedejin doontaa soo kabashada, taasoo kor u qaadi doonta qiimaha glyphosate.
Saldhigga xukunku waa sidan soo socota:
1. Xogta dhoofinta ee kastamka Shiinaha, waxaa laga arki karaa in Brazil ay joojisay ka saarista alaabta ceeriin ah oo ay gashay xilligii buuxinta alaabta bishii Juun. Baahida dib-u-cusboonaysiinta ee Mareykanka iyo Argentina ayaa isbeddelaysay heerarka hoose dhowr bilood oo isku xiga waxayna muujinaysaa isbeddel kor u kacaya;
2. Rubuca afraad, wadamada ku yaal Ameerika waxay si tartiib tartiib ah u geli doonaan xilliga beerista ama goosashada dalagyada loo baahan yahay ee glyphosate, isticmaalka glyphosate-na wuxuu geli doonaa xilli ugu sarreeya. Waxaa la filayaa in kaydka glyphosate ee dibadda uu si dhakhso ah u isticmaali doono;
3. Sida laga soo xigtay xogta Baichuan Yingfu, qiimaha glyphosate ee usbuucii Sebtembar 22, 2023 wuxuu ahaa 29000 yuan/ton, kaas oo hoos ugu dhacay heerka ugu hooseeya ee taariikhiga ah. Iyadoo ay jirto cadaadiska kor u kaca qiimaha, faa'iidada guud ee hadda jirta halkii tan ee glyphosate waa 3350 yuan/ton, taas oo sidoo kale hoos ugu dhacday saddexdii sano ee la soo dhaafay.
Marka laga soo tago tan, ma jirto meel badan oo qiimaha glyphosate uu hoos ugu dhici karo. Saddexda arrimood ee qiimaha, baahida, iyo kaydka, waxaan fileynaa in baahida dibadda ay dardar gelin doonto soo kabashada rubuca afraad isla markaana ay suuqa glyphosate u horseedi doonto inuu dib u laabto oo kor u kaco.
Laga soo xigtay maqaalka Hua'an Securities
Waqtiga boostada: Sebteembar-27-2023



